A strong El Niño is currently established across the tropical Pacific and is projected to intensify further over the coming months.
According to PAGASA and the World Meteorological Organization, moderate to strong conditions are expected to reach very strong intensity by late 2026, with a high likelihood of persisting into early 2027.
For Cebu and the broader Philippines, this climate event typically triggers below-normal rainfall, dry spells, and potential drought, though localized rain and Habagat showers remain possible.
Hikers and local residents in Cebu’s uplands should anticipate hotter and drier trail conditions, drying vegetation, and reduced water levels in mountain streams as the dry conditions progress.